Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): seasonality, best and worst months, and drawdowns
Consumer Discretionary · 16.3 years of daily prices, Jun 29, 2010 to Oct 29, 2026
Since 2010, TSLA has closed higher in 53% of months and 87% of calendar years. Its strongest month on average has been November (+10.6%), and its weakest March (-1.2%). Its deepest drop was -74%, from Nov 4, 2021 to Jan 3, 2023, and it was back to the old high by Dec 11, 2024.
Average return by calendar month
| Average | Up | Years | |||
| Jan | +5.4% | 56% | 16 | ||
| Feb | +1.0% | 44% | 16 | ||
| Mar | -1.2% | 44% | 16 | ||
| Apr | +5.9% | 63% | 16 | ||
| May | +6.6% | 50% | 16 | ||
| Jun | +8.3% | 69% | 16 | ||
| Jul | +2.2% | 47% | 17 | ||
| Aug | +6.7% | 53% | 17 | ||
| Sep | +2.0% | 41% | 17 | ||
| Oct | +2.5% | 38% | 16 | ||
| Nov | +10.6% | 69% | 16 | ||
| Dec | +1.0% | 63% | 16 | ||
"Up" is the share of years that month closed higher. Unfinished months aren't counted.
Best and worst
| Best | Worst | |
|---|---|---|
| Day | +24.5% May 9, 2013 |
-21.1% Sep 8, 2020 |
| Month | +81.1% May 2013 |
-36.7% December 2022 |
| Year | +743% 2020 |
-65% 2022 |
This year so far: -10.3%.
Drawdowns
TSLA has fallen 20% or more from a high 13 times and 10% or more 19 times since 2010. In a typical year it has dropped 36% from that year's high at some point, even in years it ended up.
How it moves
| Days that close higher | 51% |
| Typical daily move (1 std. dev.) | ±3.6% |
| Typical monthly move | ±18.0% |
| Moves beyond 3 std. dev. vs. a bell curve | 5.9× as often |
| Beta to the S&P 500 (5 yrs) | 2.08 |
| Price growth per year | +40.4% |
| ... missing its 10 best days | +25.7% |
Price only, before dividends.
See all of TSLA's stats
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Start the free options lessons →Updated Oct 30, 2026 from daily closing prices. Educational information, not investment advice. Past patterns don't guarantee future results. All stock pages