Nvidia (NVDA): seasonality, best and worst months, and drawdowns
Information Technology · 26.8 years of daily prices, Jan 3, 2000 to Oct 29, 2026
Since 2000, NVDA has closed higher in 61% of months and 72% of calendar years. Its strongest month on average has been May (+11.5%), and its weakest July (-1.7%). Its deepest drop was -90%, from Jan 3, 2002 to Oct 9, 2002, and it was back to the old high by Nov 13, 2006.
Average return by calendar month
| Average | Up | Years | |||
| Jan | +4.3% | 42% | 26 | ||
| Feb | +7.0% | 67% | 27 | ||
| Mar | +5.0% | 56% | 27 | ||
| Apr | +0.9% | 59% | 27 | ||
| May | +11.5% | 74% | 27 | ||
| Jun | -1.6% | 48% | 27 | ||
| Jul | -1.7% | 52% | 27 | ||
| Aug | +6.5% | 74% | 27 | ||
| Sep | -0.6% | 63% | 27 | ||
| Oct | +5.2% | 58% | 26 | ||
| Nov | +7.9% | 73% | 26 | ||
| Dec | +2.1% | 62% | 26 | ||
"Up" is the share of years that month closed higher. Unfinished months aren't counted.
Best and worst
| Best | Worst | |
|---|---|---|
| Day | +42.4% Mar 7, 2000 |
-35.2% Aug 6, 2004 |
| Month | +82.7% May 2003 |
-48.6% June 2002 |
| Year | +308% 2001 |
-83% 2002 |
This year so far: +14.6%.
Drawdowns
NVDA has fallen 20% or more from a high 14 times and 10% or more 35 times since 2000. In a typical year it has dropped 34% from that year's high at some point, even in years it ended up.
How it moves
| Days that close higher | 52% |
| Typical daily move (1 std. dev.) | ±3.7% |
| Typical monthly move | ±16.8% |
| Moves beyond 3 std. dev. vs. a bell curve | 4.7× as often |
| Beta to the S&P 500 (5 yrs) | 2.17 |
| Price growth per year | +33.3% |
| ... missing its 10 best days | +21.6% |
Price only, before dividends.
See all of NVDA's stats
Monthly, weekly and daily return distributions against a bell curve, pivot tables and volatility facts, in Stock Stats. Free with a PitSavvy account.
Stocks that trade like NVDA
From PitSavvy's latest cluster analysis of S&P 500 daily returns.
Learn to trade options on stocks like NVDA
Big moves, steady months and deep drawdowns all call for different option strategies. The PitSavvy option courses start free.
Start the free options lessons →Updated Oct 30, 2026 from daily closing prices. Educational information, not investment advice. Past patterns don't guarantee future results. All stock pages